ONS predicts 5,8% increase in energy demand in February

At the beginning of the month, the forecast was for an increase of 3,7%; heat intensifies consumption in the country
ONS predicts 5,8% increase in energy demand in February
Photo: Pixabay

The ONS (National Electric System Operator) projects that the country's energy load will reach 88.113 MW on average in February, representing a growth of 5,8% compared to the same month in 2024.

At the beginning of the month, the estimate was for an increase of 3,7%, but the accelerated increase reflects the increase in electricity consumption due to heat waves, driven mainly by the intensive use of air conditioning.

Among the subsystems, the South is expected to the highest growth in energy load, with an increase of 8,6% (16.909 MW average). For the other regions, the projections are:

  • Southeast/Central-West: +6,4% (50.050 MW average)
  • North: +4% (7.660 MW average)
  • Northeast: +1,5% (13.494 average MW)

The ONS guarantees that the electrical system is prepared to meet demand safely. Since January, three records of instantaneous demand have been ed in the SIN (National Interconnected System): 102.810 MW (January 22), 103.335 MW (February 11) and 103.785 MW (February 12).

Read also Intense heat drives energy consumption, which grows 2,2% in January.

Projections for rainfall and reservoir storage

The ONS PMO (Monthly Operations Program) bulletin for the week of February 15-21 indicates projections above 80% of the MLT (Long-Term Average) for inflows in all subsystems. The highlights are:

  • North: 111% of MLT;
  • Northeast: 90% of MLT;
  • Southeast/Central-West: 84% of MLT;
  • South: 81% of MLT.

Stored Energy (EAR) levels at the end of the month should exceed 70% in three subsystems:

  • North: 96%;
  • Northeast: 81%;
  • Southeast/Central-West: 70,5%;
  • South: 50,4%.

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Photo by Wagner Freire
Wagner Freire
Wagner Freire is a journalist graduated from FMU. He worked as a reporter for Jornal da Energia, Canal Energy and Agência Estado. Covering the electricity sector since 2011. Has experience in covering events such as energy auctions, conventions, lectures, fairs, congresses and seminars.

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