With the expectation of the publication of the Provisional Measure, agents in the electricity sector have already begun to calculate the impacts of the changes proposed by the government. According to a study by TR Soluções, the measures announced by the MME (Ministry of Mines and Energy) could result in an average increase of 18,5% in the TUSD (Distribution System Usage Tariff) for free consumers connected to high voltage, starting in 2026.
On the other hand, the reform may generate small reductions in the TE (Energy Tariff) of captive consumers. However, the trend is for an increase in final tariffs, with an average increase of up to 4,66%. TR Soluções' analysis indicates that, in practice, the measures only promote a reallocation of the costs that make up the tariffs.
TUSD and TE are components of the energy tariff. TUSD represents the cost of using the distribution network, while TE is related to energy purchase agreements.
Free consumers are free to negotiate the purchase of energy, but remain subject to TUSD, defined by ANEEL (National Electric Energy Agency) in the tariff adjustments of each distributor. Below, TR Soluções presents the average impact of the reform on tariffs, divided by voltage groups.
According to TR Soluções managing partner Paulo Steele, the simulations show that the combined impact on application rates for different tariff groups is relatively similar. “However, there is a reallocation of costs between the types of rates, the effects of which intensify as tension levels increase,” he said.
“If there are no changes to the reform proposal, the 'bill' should be paid mainly by industrial consumer units in High Voltage, via TUSD”, adds the specialist.
The study considered the proposal for sector reform presented by Minister Alexandre Silveira on April 16. The analysis included five main changes: opening the free market to low voltage, changing the CDE (Energy Development ) allocation path, expanding the Social Electricity Tariff, reallocating the CDE-GD charge in the TUSD and treating energy from Angra 1 and 2 along the lines of Proinfa, including free consumers in its allocation basis.
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