“The main trend now is the acquisition of batteries, but I believe that, from 2025 onwards, we will start to think much more about integration with grids and hybrid systems than about the solar energy model that has predominated until now”, says Rafael Rodrigues, Commercial Manager of AVT Distribuidora Solar.
During the first episode of the fourth season of the Papo Solar podcast, broadcast on Tuesday (8), Rafel Rodrigues participated, together with Matheus Gimenes, sales engineer at HYXiPOWER to discuss solar market trends for 2025.
“The market is moving towards greater qualification, driven by several factors, such as the escape from flow reversal and other complications. There is no longer any way to escape: qualification has become an obligation,” reinforced Rodrigues.
In the last period, Brazil faced extreme climate challenges which directly impacted the country's electricity sector. The long period of drought and heavy rains that caused blackouts left thousands of people without electricity for days.
These events highlighted the need for a storage system integrated with solar energy, a major trend for the year 2025.
“With the use of batteries, we have a lot of energy freedom to store and use at a specific time or in the event of a power outage,” he said. Gimenes.
Energy is among the sectors most impacted by extreme weather events, says Climatempo
What should be the main business models in 2025?
“For me, without a doubt it is the part of hybrids with storage. Especially because there is a study on opening the free residential market and I think this will not take long, both for the power outage and for peak hours”, explains Gimenes.
For Rodrigues, the market is “going through a phase of democratization of access to this type of technology and the next step for 2025 is to start thinking more about the off grid and hybrid part than the standard solar model”.
Hybrid project provides uninterrupted power to 450 homes in Suriname
Will battery prices go down?
According to Bruno Kikumoto, CEO of Canal Solar, market prices fell sharply last year. “In 2023, we were working with prices in the range of US$250 per kWh. In 2024, we saw a substantial drop to US$120 per kWh, that is, it fell by half. This year will see even better prices,” he analyzed.
“In addition, it has a very low payback compared to other countries. In Europe, for example, the payback is ten years, whereas here it is four years in total,” adds Matheus Gimenes.
Watch the full episode
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